The window is narrow for Ms. Haley in the confrontation with Mr. Trump 0
(Dan Tri) – Experts analyzed the reasons why former US President Donald Trump won and the chances of Republican candidates after the primary election in New Hampshire state.
Former US President Donald Trump during the victory celebration after the primary election in New Hampshire state (Photo: Reuters).
Not unexpectedly, former US President Donald Trump continued to win the Republican primary election in New Hampshire.
Mr. Biden himself seems to have realized this.
American experts say that although the opportunity for Ms. Nikki Haley, Mr. Trump’s biggest opponent in the Democratic Party, is still there, the possibility that she can `overthrow` the former president is not high.
`New Hampshire is a relatively friendly area (to Ms. Haley) due to its voter characteristics and election laws that allow independent voters to vote for her in the Republican primary. If she cannot
The results are not difficult to predict
By the time 92% of the votes were counted, Mr. Trump was leading with nearly 55% of the votes.
According to Mr. David Mark, senior editor of the Washington Examiner magazine, the result in New Hampshire is a big victory for Mr. Trump, although the vote gap between him and Ms. Haley seems to be lower than what his campaign team thought.
`After Florida Governor Ron DeSantis abandoned his election campaign, Ms. Haley bet her entire campaign on winning New Hampshire. Ms. Haley organized many events in New Hampshire, as well as trying to attract
However, Mr. Henry Olsen, senior expert at the Ethics and Public Policy Center (EPCC), a research institute based in Washington (USA), has different thoughts.
According to a survey published by NBC News, Boston Globe and Suffolk University on January 21, Mr. Trump leads Ms. Haley by 19 percentage points, Guardian reported.
One of the reasons Ms. Haley performed better than the results of public opinion polls was the support of independent voters.
`His (Donald Trump’s) weakness if he can reach the general election is also obvious: Many independent voters oppose him,` Mr. Olsen pointed out.
Professor Galdieri also commented that Ms. Haley’s results were `relatively good`.
Mrs. Haley’s future
Ms. Nikki Haley declared that she would not give up despite her defeat in New Hampshire (Photo: Reuters).
Despite the defeat in New Hampshire, Ms. Haley still affirmed that she will continue her election campaign.
`The race is not over yet. There are still dozens of states left,` she told supporters after initial vote counts showed that Mr. Trump would be the winner.
Ms. Haley also declared that Mr. Trump is the opponent that the Democrats are waiting for.
In early February, Republican voters in Nevada and the US Virgin Islands will choose the party’s presidential candidate.
`In theory, Ms. Haley will have a big advantage in her hometown. However, Mr. Trump is very popular with the people of South Carolina. Many elected officials in the state have also voiced their support for him. Haley is forced to win in
In Nevada and the US Virgin Islands, only registered Republican voters have the right to participate in selecting presidential candidates.
Why did Mr. Trump win?
For his part, Mr. Trump appeared confident in his victory speech.
`We always win. We win the primaries. We win the general election. (New Hampshire) is a great state. This is a very special place to me,` he told the crowd.
Professor Galdieri pointed out that Mr. Trump’s victory came from the former president’s strategy that has lasted for many years: Considering support for him as part of the Republican Party’s identity.
`As a result, many in his party do not consider the incident of January 6, or the accusations against him, or the court’s verdict in cases of defamation, sexual harassment or fraud.
Besides, according to experts, American voters also tend to vote for people who are predicted to win, or commonly known as the `prosperity` effect.
`In my opinion, voters want to be on the same side as the winner. When a candidate is clearly ahead, voters will flock to this person, so they don’t feel `eccentric`. In my opinion,
Although he agrees with this statement, Mr. Olsen also believes that the influence of the above effect will gradually decrease in the next elections.
`In American politics, the `prosperity` effect is often overrated, but nonetheless really exists. Over the past week, this effect has benefited Mr. Trump, but he still cannot
